Automatic Time Series Forecasting: the forecast Package for R
Introduction | Exponential smoothing | Point forecasts for all methods | Innovations state space models | State space models for all exponential smoothing methods | Estimation | Model selection | Automatic forecasting | ARIMA models | Choosing the model order using unit root tests and the AIC | A step-wise procedure for traversing the model space | Comparisons with exponential smoothing | The forecast package | Implementation of the automatic exponential smoothing algorithm | The HoltWinters() function | Implementation of the automatic ARIMA algorithm | The forecast() function | Other functions | Bibliography